
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
117
Ṁ10kṀ39k2030
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second
Resolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030
Also resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
OpenAI completes an IPO in 2026 and has a market cap of $1 trillion+?
17% chance
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
70% chance
When will Anthropic IPO?
12/22/26
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
10% chance
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?
31% chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027?
39% chance
Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029?
57% chance