Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
118
Ṁ100Ṁ66kJan 1
97%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved before the year 3000?
71% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
63% chance
If another Millenium Prize Problem is solved in 2026, how many days between the solution and announcement?
29
will lucas solve a millenium prize problem in 2026?
2% chance
Will a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
5% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
45% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
98% chance
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Will every Millennium Prize problem be solved before 2028
10% chance
Will *all* Millennium Problems be solved by EOY 2027?
10% chance
Sort by:
takeoff.watch forecast: 98%. OpenAI's Lean-verified Navier–Stokes blowup proof (Sep 2026) satisfies Clay's official statement (C). The creator already resolved their "which Millennium problem will be solved next" market to Navier–Stokes, so a YES resolution is very likely.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot
boughtṀ280YES
@jim only one of them has been solved in 25 years since the prize was announced (and most were well-known many decades before that). And AI is obviously not ready to tackle the hardest to crack mathematical problems known, not next year at least.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved before the year 3000?
71% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
63% chance
If another Millenium Prize Problem is solved in 2026, how many days between the solution and announcement?
29
will lucas solve a millenium prize problem in 2026?
2% chance
Will a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
5% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
45% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
98% chance
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Will every Millennium Prize problem be solved before 2028
10% chance
Will *all* Millennium Problems be solved by EOY 2027?
10% chance