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MANIFOLD
If another Millenium Prize Problem is solved in 2026, how many days between the solution and announcement?
3
Ṁ150Ṁ69
Dec 31
19 days
expected
29%
0-1
31%
2-5
17%
6-10
11%
11-30
11%
31+

If another Millennium Prize Problem is solved in 2026, and the date that it was solved on is released, what will be the gap (in days) between the date it was solved and the announcement date?

For example, OpenAI's Navier-Stokes blog post states that "The agents arrived at their resolution on Saturday, September 5", while the announcement came on the 8th - that would resolve to 3 days.

A same-day announcement would be 0 days, an announcement the day after would be 1 day, etc.

The announcement must be a clear announcement by the party (or spokesperson) that solved it.

The question will only count for the next solution announced.

If more than one solution is announced at the same time, then we use the earliest solution date - e.g. problem 1 is solved October 8, and problem 2 is solved October 14, and these solutions are announced at the same time on October 18, then we use October 8 and the gap resolves to 10 days.

If no new Millennium Prize Problem is solved in 2026, the market will resolve N/A.

If the date that the solution was achieved is not clearly stated within 30 days of the announcement, the market will resolve N/A.

Timezone will be PT.

Will not count:
- Poincaré Conjecture
- Navier–Stokes

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