Will a foreign missile strike a civilian target in California before 2036? | Manifold

Will a foreign missile strike a civilian target in California before 2036?

8

Ṁ1kṀ2.4k

2035

18%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Must cause at least $1m USD in estimated damage to count.

Market context

Israel-Iran Conflict

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