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MANIFOLD
Wikipedia will collapse within 5 years of Jimmy Wales death, if not before
15
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k
2028
3%
chance

If wikipedia collapses before wales death this market resolves N/A.

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Is the "if not" meant literally as "it will collapse within 5 years of his death conditional on it not having collapsed before", or is it meant loosely as "it will collapse within 5 years of his death or before"?

bought Ṁ20 YES

@NathanpmYoung

the former

Does there need to be suggested/implied causal relationship between Wales’s decreased involvement/health and the decline?

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