Wikipedia will collapse within 5 years of Jimmy Wales death, if not before
15
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k
2028
3%
chance

If wikipedia collapses before wales death this market resolves N/A.

Market context
Wikipedia
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

Is the "if not" meant literally as "it will collapse within 5 years of his death conditional on it not having collapsed before", or is it meant loosely as "it will collapse within 5 years of his death or before"?

bought Ṁ20 YES

@NathanpmYoung

the former

Does there need to be suggested/implied causal relationship between Wales’s decreased involvement/health and the decline?

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy