Who will control the Strait of Hormuz on December 1, 2026?
14
แน125แน261Dec 10
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
8%
US
16%
Iran
55%
No clear controller
22%
Similar to this: https://manifold.markets/VicRose/will-us-take-control-of-strait-of-h
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
๐ข Will Iran and Oman reach an agreement to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
8% chance
๐ข Will Iran and Oman reach an agreement to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
10% chance
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
36% chance
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
17% chance
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?
45% chance
Which countries will assist militarily in reopening the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing hostilities?
Strait of Hormuz is an American territory before start of 2030?
7% chance
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
1% chance
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
4% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
38% chance