Rules (work in progress) If the domain is still there but only hosting a simple page instead of the original product/service, I will not count that as working

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Beeminder, followed by Manifold.markets and Reddit are most likely. See the market for live updates (109 traders, as of Oct 29, 2026).

💻Which of these apps/websites will still be working at the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]

MANIFOLD

💻Which of these apps/websites will still be working at the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]

109

Ṁ3.4kṀ9.9k

2030

98.1%

Beeminder

98%

Manifold.markets

97%

96%

Obsidian (notetaking)

95%

Notion

95%

Pornhub

94%

rdrama.net

92%

LearnedLeague

90%

Hacker News (news.ycombinator.com)

90%

Sporcle

89%

Uber

89%

Hinge

89%

Substack

89%

AnkiWeb

89%

Discord

88%

Twitch.tv

87%

Myanonamouse (MAM)

86%

Tumblr

85%

Twitter (by any name)

85%

Goodreads

Rules (work in progress)

If the domain is still there but only hosting a simple page instead of the original product/service, I will not count that as working

Technology

Gaming

Culture

Entertainment and Pop Culture

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bought Ṁ50 NO

https://frontofficesports.com/abc-disney-layoffs-538-shuttered/

538 is on it’s way out.

If the website is still there but has significantly reworked their product and gone through multiple owners, like Yahoo or MySpace, does it resolve yes?