When will a weakly general AI become publicly known?
9
Ṁ350Ṁ2442099
2030
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mirror of this Metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
70% chance
Will a weakly general AI become publicly known before 2030?
78% chance
When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?
Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?
Will non-human intelligence be confirmed before artificial general intelligence?
19% chance
How long until we see the first report of a true AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)
When artificial general intelligence (AGI) exists, what will be true?
Will AI be officially recognized as ‘AGI’ (Artificial General Intelligence) before the end of 2027?
12% chance