Per Manifold Markets prediction market, >= 10, followed by >= 20 and >= 30 are most likely. See the market for live updates (13 traders, as of Aug 30, 2026).

What will be the Felony Bench high score by EoY 2026?

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Dec 31

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91%

>= 10

63%

>= 20

38%

>= 30

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@traders it looks like we have a quasi-official (or at least Schelling point) resolution source: https://www.felonybench.com/

Felony Bench: Be AI, Do Crime

Felony Bench is the most important benchmark of our time, some are saying, counting the number of questionable decisions made by AI agents. We might need a Pandemic Bench soon...

Other suggestions? Should we make it official?

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