Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What milestones will JAXA's Martian Moons eXploration mission achieve?
1
Ṁ1kṀ210
2031
74%
Successful Mars transfer orbit insertion
65%
Mars orbit insertion
50%
Touchdown on Phobos
50%
Sample collection
59%
Deimos flyby
47%
Sample capsule release
43%
Sample capsule collection at Earth
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

JAXA’s October 20 launch-result notice confirms MMX separated normally and was inserted into its planned orbit at T+1h11m13s. The launch plan identifies that orbit as the Mars transfer orbit (printed p. 6), distinct from later Mars orbit insertion.

Result: https://www.jaxa.jp/press/2026/10/20261020-1_j.html

Plan: https://www.jaxa.jp/press/2026/10/files/jaxa20261018-1_01.pdf

Could you review “Successful Mars transfer orbit insertion” for YES, and confirm whether completed milestones resolve individually before 2031? I have no position in this market.