https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martian_Moons_eXploration_(MMX)
Successful landing will be defined as the spacecraft being able to send and receive information.
https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-mmx-successfully-return-sample
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Intuitive Machine's IM-2 mission successfully land on the moon?
66% chance
Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?
68% chance
Will MMX successfully return samples from Phobos to Earth?
56% chance
Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M1 mission successfully land on the moon?
78% chance
Will the Martian Moons eXploration probe (MMX) reach Mars and be functional?
77% chance
Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
74% chance
Will ESA's HERACLES mission successfully land on the moon?
57% chance
Will NASA's VIPER mission successfully land on the Moon?
72% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
66% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e 8 mission successfully land on the moon?
69% chance