Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?
12
170Ṁ274Dec 24
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves true if a single EscaPADE spacecraft reaches a highly elliptical orbit around Mars, as reported by NASA. Resolves false otherwise. A flyby where the spacecraft does not achieve orbit around Mars does not count.
https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/spacecraft/display.action?id=ESCAPADE
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
32% chance
Will the Martian Moons eXploration probe (MMX) reach Mars and be functional?
75% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2040?
83% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
62% chance
Will Elon Musk's SpaceX Land Anything Fully Functional According on Mars during 2025?
2% chance
Will I beat SpaceX Starship to mars?
41% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
49% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
65% chance
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
25% chance