MANIFOLD
Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?
14
Ṁ170Ṁ597
2027
89%
chance

Resolves true if a single EscaPADE spacecraft reaches a highly elliptical orbit around Mars, as reported by NASA. Resolves false otherwise. A flyby where the spacecraft does not achieve orbit around Mars does not count.

https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/spacecraft/display.action?id=ESCAPADE

Market context
Technology
Space
Space exploration
New Glenn
Blue Origin
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@Kire_ Will you be extending the market and or wait for resolution till the fate is clear?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Market extended.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Kire_ I believe

This is AT LEAST a single spacecraft? Right. I assume they are only sending one of them now, but just to be sure.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Yes

How will this resolve if the mission does not launch?

@miles NO

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