Trump's approval rating - lowest value in 2026

MANIFOLD

Ṁ125Ṁ88

2027

22.89 %

expected

ALL

64%

Above 35.0%

41%

Above 35.5%

31%

Above 36.0%

13%

Above 36.5%

Resolves based on the Silver bulletin data: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, currently (Oct 8th 2026) the lowest was 37.1%. Only values after market creation count towards resolution.

How popular is Donald Trump?

See the latest data on President Donald Trump's job approval rating and popularity, updated daily with polling averages, graphs, and commentary from Nate Silver.

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Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?

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How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026?

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[ACX 2026] What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?

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How low will Trump's approval rating get by the end of 2027?

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36.6% on Oct 9th

@mods for some reason, the expected value is completely out of line with the buckets. Is there a way to fix it?

@AIBear @mods pinging - the buckets are wrong...

@AIBear Ignore the displayed percentage, there's nothing I can do to fix it.

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Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?

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37.600

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Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?

23% chance

Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% or lower before Feb 1st 2027

82% chance

[ACX 2026] What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?

-22

How low will Trump's approval rating get by the end of 2027?

34.4

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18% chance

Will Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?

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