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MANIFOLD
Trump approval rating
226
Ṁ170kṀ1.3m
Oracle price
37.200%
Funding
-0.166%/day
shorts pay longs
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Source: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

Tracks VoteHub's published time-weighted average of Donald Trump's approval rating (votehub.com/polls). The index updates whenever VoteHub's number changes, checked every 5 minutes.

Click TRUMP in the title for more info.

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So, it puts in an order for the next price... how do I cancel that?

@ScottSupak Unfortunately if we allow people to cancel, then you could cancel at the last second and basically have the same advantage as before. The alternative I am considering is a way to queue a next-tick sale, and get an immediate loan against the position (maybe 90%)

haven't figured it out yet.

I accept that this experience is worse, but it's better than having to remove it entirely. Hopefully we can improve it down the line

@Gen Thanks, I guess I was unaware of how that part of it worked. I was just trying to add to my position before it dropped.

@Gen It would be helpful if I could see what's waiting to be bought out here, since when I went to close the position, it said I had to wait for that to get filled.

@ScottSupak hmm, can you send me a screenshot and explain in a little more detail what you mean? If it's a UI improvement I should be able to fix this today

@Gen It was a pop up window, I didn't grab it. When I closed it said something like "the remaining position will be there until someone takes it"? sorry, honestly don't remember, I was a little busy over at the real money site. But I'm very interested in these and would even eventually like to see something like this at Kalshi, which is why I've been playing around trying to learn more about them

I like how it just goes down

@mods is this peak correct?

@TheWabiSabi We just reflect the data at https://votehub.com/polls/, which does show the approval increasing.

Why is this going up?!

@TheWabiSabi because a high poll went in.

@ScottSupak more like, why is he polling better?

@TheWabiSabi it was just one poll. It's noise.

EDIT: I'm stupid sorry nevermind

"Click perpetual in the title for more info."

Well, it says "Trump" there now, which is funny because an unhealthy 80 year old is the opposite of perpetual.

@ScottSupak good catch! Thanks for that 😄

This would work a lot better if the good people at Vote Hub did their jobs.

Doesn't really seem like we are predicting anything in any meaningful way

@JasonMendoza2008 lol please stop I don't need another notification from you asking why

@Gen 😂 my bad

@Gen Why not?

@Gen why /j/j/j