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MANIFOLD
How many seats will the Conservative Party win at the next general election?
10
Ṁ1.1kṀ3.6k
2030
161 seats
expected
13%
0 - 50
18%
51 - 100
19%
101 - 150
15%
151 - 200
15%
201 - 250
10%
251 - 300
5%
301 - 350
1.1%
351 - 400
1.1%
401 - 425
1.1%
Above 425

The Conservative Party won 121 seats in the 2024 general election. How many will they win in the next one?

In the event of party shenanigans (mergers, rebrands etc.) this will resolve to only the number of candidates who are listed as Conservative and Unionist on the ballot paper. The exception would be if the whole party clearly undergoes a single unified rebrand in which case it will refer to whatever the subsequent party is named,

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