Will there be another Gaza ceasefire before April 2026?
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2026
98%
chance

ceasefire must last at least 3 days

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@SaviorofPlant it’s been 3 days. Time to resolve. Sorry you’re holding 1368 no shares but you still need to resolve.

It would be great to have a very clear deadline for when the 3 days are over. There were many headlines about the ceasefire start, and some traders may confuse different deadlines:
1) ceasefire plan announced after US+Hamas+Israel preliminary agreement
2) ceasefire plan ratified by Israel cabinet
3) ceasefire starts after IDF withdrawal completion

The ceasefire actually started at deadline 3, but I just want to make sure we are all in the same page.

I would consider this message by Israel Defense Forces as the official announcement:
https://x.com/IDF/status/1976579233133609249

This implies the 72 hours are due at Monday 13th October 12:00 (Israel time zone)

@SaviorofPlant do you also see it this way?

@MiguelLM @SaviorofPlant this should be resolved now I think?

@SaviorofPlant get ready to resolve this one.

bought Ṁ100 NO

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c78m71vl91vt

Israel seems to be done negotiating.

@TimothyJohnson5c16

bet against israel/gaza ceasefire

win

is there a more surefire path to profit?

@jim why was this ever at 90%. baffling

Does a cessation of fire because no terrorist is left alive count as a ceasefire?

bought Ṁ1 NO

https://archive.ph/bboA0

"Israeli forces launched a large-scale attack across the Gaza Strip early Tuesday, in the first major strikes on the territory since Israel’s cease-fire with Hamas began roughly two months ago. Gaza’s health ministry said more than 300 people had been killed."

bought Ṁ50 NO

I have made infinite ROI on these markets...betting against peace is sadly profitable these days!

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