If Joe Biden had won the 2024 election, what is the likelihood he would have completed the full term?
38
in 6 hours
>90%
80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
30-40%
20-30%
10-20%
<10%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?
80% chance
Will Trump serve a full second term (after winning in 2024)?
76% chance
Will Joe Biden live through the next president's term end date?
22% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. presidential election NOT serve their full 4 year term?
34% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he leave office before the end of his term?
19% chance