This market resolves NO in a year.
18
100Ṁ48752026
1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves NO on March 17, 2026.
Old rules below:
I'll ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number between 1 and 2, inclusive. If it rolls a 2, this market will resolve YES, and if it rolls a 1, it will resolve NO. I'll use a suitable alternative if @FairlyRandom isn't available.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
This market resolves NO in a year.
1% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
49% chance
This market stays open forever.
72% chance
This market has a 1/1000 chance of resolving YES each day.
99% chance
Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance
9% chance
This market has a 5% chance of resolving YES, and otherwise stays open forever
78% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
48% chance
Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029
99% chance