Will an AI Tutor (LLM personalized for each student) replace conventional teaching by 2035? | Manifold

Will an AI Tutor (LLM personalized for each student) replace conventional teaching by 2035?

20

1kṀ1440

2035

67%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

By "conventional teaching" I'm referring to the traditional top-down learning style of 1 teacher lecturing to a large number of students explaining something to them

"Personalized AI" in the sense that it understands each student's unique preferences, personality & existing knowledge base & uses that to produce explanations & learning material that minimizes learning time & frustration.

Resolution Criteria

Specific to Elementary & High Schools in developed countries (e.g. US, UK, Germany etc.)
Human teachers are still allowed to supervise / keep kids out of trouble but their role as an 'explainer' has been largely replaced by AI

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

LLMs by EOY 2025: Will Retentive Learning Surpass Transformers? (Subsidised 400 M$)

Will AI begin to replace judges before 2030?

Will an AI be capable of substituting for a high-quality criminal defense lawyer before 2030?

Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Will Transformer-Based LLMs Make Up ≥75% of Parameters in the Top General AI by 2030?

Will AI safety and regulation be mandatory training courses for students working with AI by the year 2035 under Federal Law?

Will AI Therapist be a mainstream job title by December 31, 2025?

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?

Related questions

LLMs by EOY 2025: Will Retentive Learning Surpass Transformers? (Subsidised 400 M$)

Will AI begin to replace judges before 2030?

Will an AI be capable of substituting for a high-quality criminal defense lawyer before 2030?

Will one of the major LLMs be capable of continual lifelong learning (learning from inference runs) by EOY 2025?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Will Transformer-Based LLMs Make Up ≥75% of Parameters in the Top General AI by 2030?

Will AI safety and regulation be mandatory training courses for students working with AI by the year 2035 under Federal Law?

Will AI Therapist be a mainstream job title by December 31, 2025?

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy