MANIFOLD
What will Project Hail Mary Global Box Office Gross be (in Millions) 🍿🎥🎬🚀🧑‍🚀
2
Ṁ175Ṁ90
Sep 20
652 $ millions
expected
83%
Above $350M
76%
Above $450M
76%
Above $550M
50%
Above $650M
50%
Above $750M
50%
Above $850M
24%
Above $950M

Resolves 6 months after its US release (September 20th 2026)

Resolution Criteria

As of March 22, 2026, Project Hail Mary has grossed $141 million globally, with $81 million in the United States and Canada and $60 million in other territories. The market resolves 6 months after the US release on March 20, 2026, which is September 20, 2026. Resolution will be determined by the worldwide box office total reported on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt12042730/) or other major box office tracking sources as of that date.

Background

The film adapts Andy Weir's novel about a teacher-turned-astronaut waking with amnesia on a mission to save Earth from a sun-killing substance. Project Hail Mary was released in the United States by Amazon MGM Studios on March 20, 2026. The film cost about $200 million. The film received critical acclaim for its performances (particularly those of Gosling and Hüller), screenplay, directing, and visuals.

Considerations

The story is adapted from the best-selling novel by author Andy Weir, whose other astronaut adventure "The Martian" was the basis for Ridley Scott's 2015 blockbuster, starring Matt Damon. That film ignited to $54 million domestically and ended its box office run with a mighty $630 million globally. The comparable production budget and source material provide context for potential long-term performance, though direct comparisons are complicated by different release strategies and market conditions.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy