Will Polymarket become legal and regulated in the US in 2025?
➕
Plus
10
Ṁ1973
2026
46%
chance

Pretty simple - do they get a DCM, DCO, or FCM from the CFTC?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ40 YES

Matt Levine predicts it is likely. [Individual Investors Put Up the Cash - Bloomberg](https://archive.is/ftq5T)

Right now Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market, is not allowed to offer bets to US customers. I predict that in a year that will not be true. Donald Trump’s administration seems generally crypto-friendly and deregulatory, and friendly to prediction markets and Polymarket specifically; also the courts have recently rejected regulatory limits on other prediction markets. Also the US regulatory environment for online gambling in general has gotten a lot friendlier. Prediction markets will be much more broadly legal in the US in a year than they are now, and Polymarket will be at or near the front of the line.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules