Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or larger during 2023?

54

985Ṁ9000

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if there is an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or larger reported in https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/m8-world.php

Natural Disasters

New Year's Resolutions 2024

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ282
2		Ṁ129
3		Ṁ105
4		Ṁ103
5		Ṁ79

People are also trading

Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

Sort by:

predictedYES

A market for 2024:

predictedYES

7.6 today just off the coast of Mindanao in the Philippines

Some grim possibility yet remains: https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/what-will-be-the-peak-magnitude-of?r=UGFuZmlsbw

looks like 7 of the last 10 years have had one. Adding in that we're about a month into the year, around 65% sounds right.

@ShakedKoplewitz lol, so I'm going to have to overbid to get bidders...

Beat me

People are also trading

Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

Related questions

Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy