What will be the peak magnitude of the 2023 Iceland Earthquakes? [Ṁ500 Pool]
12
197
643
resolved Jan 1
100%99.9%
5.4 or less
0.1%
5.5-5.9
0.0%
6.0-6.4
0.0%
6.5-6.9
0.0%
7.0-7.4
0.0%
7.5-7.9
0.0%
8.0 or higher
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bought Ṁ30 of 5.4 or less NO

Is https://terremoti.ingv.it/en/event/36385751

relevant to this question?

@ChristopherRandles Referring to the ongoing event from just before market creation! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Iceland_earthquakes

I have a longstanding fear of earthquakes so this is my most distressing market bet 😅
is 5.2 still the top?

sold Ṁ29 of 5.4 or less NO

@shankypanky Same one but upgraded to 5.3 I think

https://abcnews.go.com/amp/International/iceland-warns-significant-likelihood-volcanic-eruption-earthquakes-shake/story?id=104840786

With the quakes calming down since Sunday, this is now a question of whether an eruption will occur this year. In 2014 there was a 5.7 but no eruption.

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