Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2025 Tour de France?
85
2kṀ65k
Jul 28
94%
chance

Resolves YES if Tadej Pogacar wins the general classification at the end of the 2025 Tour de France. Resolves NO otherwise, including if he does not start the Tour or does not finish.

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opened aṀ4,000YES at 96% order

@evan you still in at 96? Order open for a few hours

reposted

Day after a rest day can be high variance, I'll buy some No at 96% for the next few hours. The race ends in about 5 days so you don't have to hold long.

I spent like 7 months buying only No shares at market price.....over and over and over again, mostly between 52% and 60%. By the peak I think I had about 14,000 No shares.

Sold the great majority of it off at about 75% yesterday, but retained a few thousand No shares because I have a ton of Yes shares in a different market.

And then I picked up 10k No shares in a different market at 92% 😂

@Eliza I apparently have No's (not that many) that I bought back in January....

bought Ṁ150 NO

Added an extra 1000 liquidity for now, let it drizzle in before you bet too much.

The sweepstakes market for this question has been resolved to partial as we are shutting down sweepstakes. Please read the full announcement here. The mana market will continue as usual.

Only markets closing before March 3rd will be left open for trading and will be resolved as usual.

Users will be able to cashout or donate their entire sweepcash balance, regardless of whether it has been won in a sweepstakes or not, by March 28th (for amounts above our minimum threshold of $25).

@Manifold @SirSalty can sweep market be resolved to current % since this will not be held until July?

filled a Ṁ5 NO at 53% order

Oh sick, No shares were on sale today.

sweepified!

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