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MANIFOLD
Switch 2s sold by June 5th 2026?
16
Ṁ200Ṁ5.7k
resolved Jun 21
Resolved
15M - 29.9M
100%97%
15M - 29.9M
0.6%
Below 15M
0.9%
30M - 59.9M
0.8%
60M - 99.9M
0.4%
100M - 199.9M
0.4%
200M - 300M
0.4%
Above 300M

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the total number of Nintendo Switch 2 consoles sold by June 5, 2026. The official sales figures reported by Nintendo in their financial statements or press releases will be used to determine the outcome. If Nintendo does not release specific sales data by the resolution date, the market will resolve as N/A.

Background

The Nintendo Switch 2 is scheduled for global release on June 5, 2025, with a retail price of $449.99 in the United States. (nbcnewyork.com) Nintendo has projected sales of approximately 15 million units during its fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. (gamerant.com)

Considerations

  • Market Demand: Initial pre-orders have sold out quickly in various regions, indicating strong consumer interest. (tomsguide.com)

  • Production Capacity: Nintendo has taken measures to prevent shortages and scalping, including stockpiling units and adjusting production locations. (en.wikipedia.org)

  • Competition: The gaming console market is competitive, with offerings from companies like Sony and Microsoft potentially influencing Switch 2 sales.

  • Software Library: The availability of exclusive and popular titles, such as "Mario Kart World," may significantly impact console sales. (en.wikipedia.org)

  • Economic Factors: Global economic conditions, including tariffs and supply chain issues, could affect production costs and pricing strategies. (pcgamer.com)

Traders should monitor these factors, as they may influence the total number of Switch 2 units sold by the resolution date.

Market context
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>99% chance of N/A, nintendo isn't gonna release data that specific

🤔 I think they sold more than 28

@NivlacM it's in millions