When will production of all Nintendo Switch 1 models end in Japan?
1.2%
2025 Q3
2%
2025 Q4
9%
2026 Q1
14%
2026 Q2
14%
2026 Q3
14%
2026 Q4
14%
2027 Q1
10%
2027 Q2
9%
2027 Q3
14%
Other

Resolution criteria

  • Resolve to the calendar quarter (JST) in which Nintendo first confirms that production of all Nintendo Switch (Switch, Switch – OLED Model, and Switch Lite) has ended for Japan.

  • If Nintendo issues only “will end production” language with a future date, resolve using the stated effective date. If pages update without visible dates, use the earliest reliable press coverage that quotes/archives the Nintendo page. (Example precedent: Nintendo announced Wii U domestic production end via its site, then press reported it.)

Close date is provisional, more options will be added if 2027 Q4 gets close and production has not ended.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy