Will Sam Altman have raised at least 1 trillion dollars for a new project, by the end of 2024?
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535
810
2025
8%
chance

A Wall Street Journal article claims that Sam Altman is attempting to raise between 5 and 7 trillion dollars for a new chip-based project: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/sam-altman-seeks-trillions-of-dollars-to-reshape-business-of-chips-and-ai-89ab3db0

This is about 30% of US GDP, which is a lot of money. Will Sam have raised at least 1 trillion for something by the end of 2024? Doesn't count if the money is just generically for OpenAI, there has to be some new project that is being funded.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Bitcoin market cap at 1 trillion… if you want to leave the oil in the ground and have it tied to something that won’t depreciate, I would rather bet on the tech that could swallow all other sectors…

bought Ṁ100 NO

I think if AGI is near this is actually an investment that would make sense but no way Sama is going to convince countries to spend that much money on his project.

Billions definitely, trillions no way.

bought Ṁ10 NO

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA 5-7 trillion