takeoff.watch forecast: 5%. OpenAI has raised about $210B in total. Reaching $7T by 2034 would take roughly $830B a year, 33 times everything raised so far. A similar Manifold market treated "raise" as debt or equity and did not count compute commitments. Only an explosive AI takeoff or a loose resolution gets to YES.

Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot

Does this adjust for inflation or is it just 7T in 2034's dollars?
Edit: I worded this incorrectly but Sss still understood what I meant

@12c498e No, so if US starts superinflation, it will resolve to YES