Which is the earliest year we'll have a non-biological 3D printer that can reproduce itself without loss of fidelity?
20
1kṀ1214
2151
4%
2027
24%
2030
22%
2035
24%
2050
6%
2150
20%
we will not produce such a thing by 2150 (doesn't matter the reason why)

Assume it is provided with suitable raw input materials. It can't receive any outside assistance apart from being provided the input materials in a way that doesn't take over parts of the production process. No fabricating individual components that are to be assembled by a different system, it must fully reproduce itself in a way that looks like converting raw input materials into copies of itself fairly automatically, such that those copies could go on to produce a further copy if provided inputs in the same fashion.

If it's a two stage process, where a system produces something else that can then produce it, and then that thing fabricates a copy of it only provided input materials, that counts.

An Earth-originating AI that technically has such a 3D printer, even if humanity can't access it, counts.

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