Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end? (8000M subsidy)
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Will Tyler Cowen agree that an 'actual mathematical model' for AI X-risk has been developed by December 31st, 2023?
Will AI agents be used to develop software commercially by the end of 2023?
Will there be an AI language model that surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before March 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M subsidy added]
Will Tyler Cowen agree that an 'actual mathematical model' for AI X-Risk has been developed by October 15, 2023?
Will there be an open source, uncensored AI image generator with the same or greater quality as DALLE-3 by end of 2025?
Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?
Diffusion hypernetworks: Will a network similar to DALLE be able to generate "network weights" instead of images in 2023
Will openAI release an official android asisstant app before March 2024?
Will a 10B parameter multimodal RL model be trained by Deepmind in the next 12 months?
Will more than 20 organizations publicly train large language models by 2024?
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?
Short Term AI 2.5: By January 2024, will there be a usable, general AI assistant?
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
Will OpenAI release a search engine before 2024? [Read description]
Will Elon’s new startup xAI launch a publically accessible AI model (not waitlist) before the end of 2023?
Will there have been a noticeable sector-wide economic effect from a new AI technology by the end of 2023?
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]