Will I be selected to proceed to the 2nd round of the interview process for Erik Torenberg’s Chief of Staff job opening?

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Ṁ269

resolved Feb 10

Resolved

YES

ALL

Sequel to this market:

I received an invitation to complete a take-home assignment, which I’ve qualified as enough to resolve the previous market YES.

The take-home assignment instructions are here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1xzsaB_3N20SCy2pMb2uuB13FRFyM_KW_9g7ypYyB7ac/edit

Tl;dr I have to create a 90-day execution plan for one of his business ideas. It seems challenging but fun.

Will I be invited to the next step in the interview process (2nd round)? Resolving YES requires that I complete the assignment (I give it a ~75% chance at time of this writing) and then get invited to a next step of some kind in the interview process, which I suspect will be a live video interview. Must occur prior to market close (end of Q1).

Setting opening probability at 10% like last time. I will refrain from betting further and will provide updates as I go and answer questions as requested.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Congratulations, @dglid! This is excellent news!

I’ve been invited to a 2nd round interview, a video interview with Nancy Xu, Turpentine Chief of Staff, this Tuesday, February 13th. Wish me luck and bet if I keep going here!:

predictedNO

Response from Nancy: “Thank you David!! Glad to hear that it was a lot of fun—thanks for your thoroughness and Erik+I will take a couple of days to review and get back to you shortly with next steps.”

predictedNO

I've turned in my assignment! Now just to wait to hear back.... 🤞

My entry:

---
Hi Nancy and Erik,

Here's a Notion hub for my completed take-home assignment: https://nettle-yarn-254.notion.site/David-Glidden-take-home-Erik-Torenberg-Chief-of-Staff-b7347cfe52424df89cab8142df74e6cc

The Notion hub includes:

Project overview
- How long I spent on this assignment: ~11 hours
- OKRs
- Project plan overview
90-day execution plan
Sample product demo
Marketing plan (subset of 90-day execution plan)
Loom walking you through the proposal (16 min)

I had a lot of fun completing this assignment. Hope to chat more about the role - prediction markets give me a 61% chance of speaking further!

Everything should be fully open but let me know if you run into any access/permissions issues.

Thanks,

David

predictedNO

Update: I've completed the core of the assignment. My project hub is here: https://www.notion.so/David-Glidden-take-home-Erik-Torenberg-Chief-of-Staff-b7347cfe52424df89cab8142df74e6cc

Sample website is here: https://turpentine-cpo-list---top-25-people-lea.webflow.io/

Video overview is here to get feedback from some mentors of mine: https://share.zight.com/xQuQLB1N

This weekend I'll polish up the content and incorporate any feedback from my mentors prior to sending by Mon, Feb 5th.

predictedNO

I've begun working on the take-home assignment. Follow along as I build in public here: https://nettle-yarn-254.notion.site/David-Glidden-take-home-Erik-Torenberg-Chief-of-Staff-b7347cfe52424df89cab8142df74e6cc

Feedback welcomed!

predictedYES

Will you be using Manifold to develop the list of the top 100 most important people in AI (founders, investors, and influencers)?

Seems like a good use of the platform. ;)

predictedNO

@suzumebatchi Kind of!:

You’ve got this!

predictedNO

Reason to bet NO: in the email from the hiring manager:

“Transparently, we've received quite a lot of interest for these roles—so absolutely no pressure if it doesn't make sense for you to do the take-home at the current time.”

repostedpredictedNO

I got to the next round! Come bet whether I’ll make it any further.

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