Will I be selected to proceed to the 2nd round of the interview process for Erik Torenberg’s Chief of Staff job opening?
Mini
11
269
resolved Feb 10
Resolved
YES

Sequel to this market:

I received an invitation to complete a take-home assignment, which I’ve qualified as enough to resolve the previous market YES.

The take-home assignment instructions are here: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1xzsaB_3N20SCy2pMb2uuB13FRFyM_KW_9g7ypYyB7ac/edit

Tl;dr I have to create a 90-day execution plan for one of his business ideas. It seems challenging but fun.

Will I be invited to the next step in the interview process (2nd round)? Resolving YES requires that I complete the assignment (I give it a ~75% chance at time of this writing) and then get invited to a next step of some kind in the interview process, which I suspect will be a live video interview. Must occur prior to market close (end of Q1).

Setting opening probability at 10% like last time. I will refrain from betting further and will provide updates as I go and answer questions as requested.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ57
2Ṁ54
3Ṁ30
4Ṁ28
5Ṁ11
Sort by:

Congratulations, @dglid! This is excellent news!

I’ve been invited to a 2nd round interview, a video interview with Nancy Xu, Turpentine Chief of Staff, this Tuesday, February 13th. Wish me luck and bet if I keep going here!:

predicted NO

Response from Nancy: “Thank you David!! Glad to hear that it was a lot of fun—thanks for your thoroughness and Erik+I will take a couple of days to review and get back to you shortly with next steps.”

predicted NO

I've turned in my assignment! Now just to wait to hear back.... 🤞


My entry:

---
Hi Nancy and Erik,

Here's a Notion hub for my completed take-home assignment: https://nettle-yarn-254.notion.site/David-Glidden-take-home-Erik-Torenberg-Chief-of-Staff-b7347cfe52424df89cab8142df74e6cc


The Notion hub includes:


I had a lot of fun completing this assignment. Hope to chat more about the role - prediction markets give me a 61% chance of speaking further! 


Everything should be fully open but let me know if you run into any access/permissions issues.

Thanks,

David

predicted NO

Update: I've completed the core of the assignment. My project hub is here: https://www.notion.so/David-Glidden-take-home-Erik-Torenberg-Chief-of-Staff-b7347cfe52424df89cab8142df74e6cc

Sample website is here: https://turpentine-cpo-list---top-25-people-lea.webflow.io/

Video overview is here to get feedback from some mentors of mine: https://share.zight.com/xQuQLB1N

This weekend I'll polish up the content and incorporate any feedback from my mentors prior to sending by Mon, Feb 5th.

predicted NO

I've begun working on the take-home assignment. Follow along as I build in public here: https://nettle-yarn-254.notion.site/David-Glidden-take-home-Erik-Torenberg-Chief-of-Staff-b7347cfe52424df89cab8142df74e6cc

Feedback welcomed!

predicted YES

Will you be using Manifold to develop the list of the top 100 most important people in AI (founders, investors, and influencers)?

Seems like a good use of the platform. ;)

predicted NO

@suzumebatchi Kind of!:

You’ve got this!

predicted NO

Reason to bet NO: in the email from the hiring manager:

“Transparently, we've received quite a lot of interest for these roles—so absolutely no pressure if it doesn't make sense for you to do the take-home at the current time.”

repostedpredicted NO

I got to the next round! Come bet whether I’ll make it any further.