Will Trump's approval rate (Silver Bulletin) dip under 40% in 2025?
4
100Ṁ120
Dec 31
33%
chance

https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

A single datapoint in the "Do Americans approve or disapprove of Donald Trump?" approval/disapproval chart dipping under 40.0% is enough to resolve YES. Otherwise resolves NO at the end of the year (GMT/UTC).

Resolves N/A if the Silver Bulletin a) ceases to exist b) ceases to publicly (free of charge) publish Trump's approval/disapproval or c) changes their algorithm in a way that significantly affects the aforementioned statistic, to the point that post-change statistics are not comparable to pre-change statistics (a blog post or similar detailing the changes has to be publicly posted).

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