Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of May 2026?

Question

Will the closing value of the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to the amount listed in each market on May 29th  2026?

I will use https://finance.yahoo.com/ as the official record to resolve the market.

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1. S&P 500 at the end of the year
2. Interruptions of another shipping choke point (which would affect the S&P 500). 
3. AI bubble pop

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, S&P500 ≥ 6700, followed by S&P500 ≥ 6800 and S&P500 ≥ 6900 are most likely. See the market for live updates (13 traders, as of May 13, 2026).

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