Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of July 2026?

Question

Will the closing value of the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to the amount listed in each market on July 31st 2026?

I will use https://finance.yahoo.com/ as the official record to resolve the market.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, S&P500 ≥ 7100, followed by S&P500 ≥ 7200 and S&P500 ≥ 7300 are most likely. See the market for live updates (6 traders, as of Jun 29, 2026).

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