MANIFOLD
On April 9th 2026, what will the 7-day moving average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
2
Ṁ1kṀ152
Apr 9
63%
x ≥ 2
57%
x ≥ 2.5
54%
x ≥ 3
50%
x ≥ 3.5
46%
x ≥ 4
43%
x ≥ 4.5
37%
x ≥ 5

Question

On April 9th 2026, what will the 7-day moving average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day moving average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on April 9th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day April 30th, I will resolve each market to NA.

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