Resolves once I'm confident of the correct answer, taking into account all relevant information from both sides of the issue. Please provide any evidence you know of in the comments. (This market won't resolve NO until the current drama is over, since more information could come out in the future.)
A single instance of sexual abuse is enough to resolve this market to YES. Non-sexual abuse, such as verbal or emotional abuse, does not count.
1,000
3.00@AnttiRasinen Prediction markets aren't polls, but thanks for clarifying your thought process. :)
I'm resolving this to NO as the base rate of sexual abuse is pretty low, and Destiny's sexual life is much more public than most, so I would expect any allegations to have surfaced. (I can re-resolve if needed if there's something I missed.)
Mr Girl contacted hundreds of people asking for any tips on sexual abuse. Several of those people are past sexual partners that now not only hate Destiny, but publicly trash him with lies and hyperbole. People like Bad Bunny (an ex-casual-partner) call Destiny racist, misogynistic, fascist, and yet not a single person of the literal hundreds of people that Destiny has slept with was willing to tell Mr Girl that Destiny so much as made them uncomfortable in a sexual situation. That's about as close to proving a negative as you're gonna get for something like this.
@Tumbles Yeah I agree that's pretty compelling. I don't even remember why I made this market; where was the allegation that he is?
@IsaacKing Mr Girl alleged Destiny was an abuser when he opened his investigation and began messaging people, that's where the meme came from in the first place. Mr Girl made claims that women had already alleged sexual abuse, but considering none of it was included in the final 'report' the speculation (which I believe) is that Mr Girl was either buying into fake info from trolls or exaggerating what he already had to encourage others to come forward
On November 1, 2021, Destiny posted in his offline chat: Tell Ana if she leaks my sexting I might have some pics to share.
Ana took this as a threat to leak her nudes and would later refer to it as sexual abuse.
There was one allegation, but this is clearly not sexual abuse even if true.