Will Google announce layoffs of >5% Google employees by EOY 2023?
Will Google announce layoffs of >5% Google employees by EOY 2023?
136
2kṀ35k
resolved Jan 20
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve positively if an official email or announcement from Sundar Pichai or an official Google representative explicitly announces either X% layoffs where X>=5, or X layoffs where X(/#Google employees) >= 0.05. The last public data I'm aware of set the number of Google employees around 160,000, so we'll say that would be layoffs of 8,000 employees.

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2y

Cutoff for YES is 8k. Sundar Pichai announced 12k, so should resolve YES

predictedYES 2y

140,000 employees (Wikipedia)

So 10% of their workforce.

predictedYES 2y

https://blog.google/inside-google/message-ceo/january-update/

We’ve decided to reduce our workforce by approximately 12,000 roles

2y

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-20/google-cutting-12-000-jobs-in-6-slash-to-global-workforce?leadSource=uverify%20wall

2y

Microsoft reportedly to cut 5% of its workforce (Sky News)

2y

US Inflation numbers came as expected, got some Nos.

2y

Duplicate over a shorter timescale https://manifold.markets/MichaelBlume/google-layoffs-2023h1

2y

surely yes as have a huge workforce >170k and the CEO has recently been talking about how to increase productivity: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/31/google-ceo-to-employees-productivity-and-focus-must-improve.html

2y

What if the layoffs don’t happen all at once, so there’s no single email that says 5% of employees will be laid-off?

2y

Moving further closer to https://manifold.markets/Paul/will-google-layoff-5-or-more-of-eng

In what world does google fire >5% engineers but not <5% employees?

2y

See also this market, which is the same thing for a shorter timeframe: https://manifold.markets/TheSkeward/google-layoffs-2023q1

2y

Updating on recent news about Amazon and Salesforce. Buckle up!

2y
2y

Will Google announce layoffs of >5% Google employees by EOY 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

2y

@ManifoldDream testing a different generation methodology

predictedYES 2y

@VivaLaPanda That definitely seems a lot better!

predictedYES 2y

“Gogle”

2y

@Gabrielle Used GPT-3 to take the market name and convert it to an actual thematic prompt, instead of just prompting with the market name as-is

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