This market will resolve positively if an official email or announcement from Sundar Pichai or an official Google representative explicitly announces either X% layoffs where X>=5, or X layoffs where X(/#Google employees) >= 0.05. The last public data I'm aware of set the number of Google employees around 160,000, so we'll say that would be layoffs of 8,000 employees.
1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ624 | |
| 2 | Ṁ332 | |
| 3 | Ṁ238 | |
| 4 | Ṁ217 | |
| 5 | Ṁ188 |
https://blog.google/inside-google/message-ceo/january-update/
We’ve decided to reduce our workforce by approximately 12,000 roles
surely yes as have a huge workforce >170k and the CEO has recently been talking about how to increase productivity: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/31/google-ceo-to-employees-productivity-and-focus-must-improve.html
Moving further closer to https://manifold.markets/Paul/will-google-layoff-5-or-more-of-eng
In what world does google fire >5% engineers but not <5% employees?
See also this market, which is the same thing for a shorter timeframe: https://manifold.markets/TheSkeward/google-layoffs-2023q1
@Gabrielle Used GPT-3 to take the market name and convert it to an actual thematic prompt, instead of just prompting with the market name as-is
