Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023?
53%
chance

Will resolve based on official announcements or news article in NYT or WSJ confirming layoffs of 5% or more of engineering.

Nov 20, 10:43am: Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023 → Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023?

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MichaelBlume avatar
Mike Blume
is predicting YES at 59%
MichaelBlume avatar
Mike Blume
bought Ṁ100 of YES

(I'm holding YES as a hedge against being an engineering FTE at Google, not because I think the market's underpriced)

Paul avatar
Paul Hobbs
is predicting NO at 66%

@MichaelBlume I recommend hedging in other, more material ways 😉