Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023?
53%
chance
Will resolve based on official announcements or news article in NYT or WSJ confirming layoffs of 5% or more of engineering.
Nov 20, 10:43am: Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023 → Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023?
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Market on an individual FTE https://manifold.markets/MichaelBlume/will-i-be-firedlaid-offlet-go-in-th
(I'm holding YES as a hedge against being an engineering FTE at Google, not because I think the market's underpriced)
