This is a pretty direct duplicate of https://manifold.markets/TheSkeward/google-layoffs-2023q1, just extended over the first half of 2023.
This market will resolve positively if an official email or announcement from Sundar Pichai or an official Google representative explicitly announces either X% layoffs where X>=5, or X layoffs where X(/#Google employees) >= 0.05. The last public data I'm aware of set the number of Google employees around 160,000, so we'll say that would be layoffs of 8,000 employees.
1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ288 | |
| 2 | Ṁ161 | |
| 3 | Ṁ89 | |
| 4 | Ṁ38 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |
I think the condition has pretty clearly been met, but given that this is a derivative of @TheSkeward's markets, I will wait for his resolution.
@RogerYang @MichaelBlume i wanna ask for advice on how to resolve such markets. I've got a few on Amz and Microsoft. Wondering whether i wait till the end of quarter or whether the announcement counts
@firstuserhere Not sure tbh... If you're unsure, N/A is generally a safe option? I personally wouldn't mind.
I was under the impression that your market was going to resolve based on announcements/news initially, but you then clarified that it would based on numbers released in q1. A change in resolution criteria is usually enough to result n/a and you can always remake.
I think Amazon might not release exact numbers, so it would be nice to free up some of that mana.