dattaprasad godbole's calibration
Grade: B-, Score: -3.89
Resolution probability
Probability after bet
Interpretation
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when dattaprasad godbole bet YES at x%, the question resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
YES bets
NO bets
3 largest bets for each bucket
70%
80%
- Will Trump be indicted by March 31? [Polymarket question, see details]YESṀ100
- Will NAATU NAATU from RRR; Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose win the Oscars for original song ?YESṀ30
- Will NAATU NAATU from RRR; Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyric by Chandrabose win the Oscars for original song ?YESṀ20