Will the next pandemic be overall worse than covid-19 in absolute, global terms?
5
42
150
2025
53%
chance

Resolves as of my judgement about both 1) that an ongoing or recent event is or has been a pandemic and 2) that it has been worse than covid-19 in the most relevant macro aspect(s) (could be sthg from global overmortality, well being, economic loss, societal disruption, collective trauma or the like but if something else seems relevant, I wont restrict it to these). I will be open to arguments and evidence.

If this question resolves, I expect this question to cause me an exhausting reflection process on what counts as good or bad (once again). Or not if things are really bad.

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