Will Trump run as a third party candidate if he loses the Republican nomination?
12
1kαΉ289resolved Nov 7
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump wins the Republican nomination -> resolves N/A
If Trump loses the Republican nomination and runs as third party candidate -> resolves Yes
If Trump loses the Republican nomination and doesn't run as third party candidate -> resolves No
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump be the Republican party nominee in the 2028 US presidential election?
23% chance
Will any Trump leave the Republican Party?
48% chance
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028?
5% chance
If DeSantis runs and loses nomination to Trump in 2024, will he ever be President?
9% chance
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
10% chance
Will trump somehow be president for more than 8 years?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump be the Republican party nominee in the 2032 US presidential election?
2% chance