Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Carrie Poppy: Yep. They say he has only one positive vision, and that’s that the world will find a cure for cancer within the next 12 months, and it’s going to be tied with artificial intelligence, and it’s going to be early in 2024.
Ross Blocher: Okay. Now, I feel AI will definitely help with these kinds of questions, but just saying cure for cancer—
Carrie Poppy: It’s big.
Ross Blocher: Right. Cancer—there’s hundreds of types of cancer. It’s many different diseases. So, yeah, I’m not sure what to think of that. But hey, I hope he’s right.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000
3.00@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.