Will Starship–SuperHeavy's fourth flight have a planned trajectory that is fully orbital?
21
165
460
Jun 1
3%
chance

Resolves on statements from SpaceX establishing whether the planned trajectory of the fourth flight of the Starshsip–SuperHeavy vehicle is unambiguously orbital - that is, a trajectory in which the vehicle would, without further engine burns, complete at least one full orbit around the Earth.

Since plans can change, this market will not resolve until SpaceX officially announces a NET launch date on their website at https://www.spacex.com/launches/.

If official and current information from SpaceX at or after that time establishes the planned flight trajectory, then this market will resolve accordingly, otherwise it will stay open until SpaceX makes the planned trajectory known.

If we don't know as of a month after launch or destruction of the vehicle, this market resolves N/A.

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