Will Starship go to the Moon before 2026?
74
1kṀ14k
2026
1%
chance

Resolves YES if Starship does any of the following:

  • Lands on the Moon

  • Crashes into the Moon

  • Enters Lunar orbit

  • Enters a halo orbit associated with the L1 or L2 Earth–Moon Lagrange points.

The landing/crashing or orbital insertion must take place prior to 2026, local time at the launch site from which the flight launched.

  • Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the following will not be sufficient for a YES resolution:

    • Lunar gravity assists

    • Free return trajectories

To resolve YES, the spacecraft must slow down enough to "stick around" the Moon by fulfilling one of the conditions originally listed in the description (orbiting, landing, or crashing).

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