Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
11
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k2027
79%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
In which quarters of 2025 will US GDP contract? (3rd estimate)
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
23% chance
Global GDP growth rate below 2.5% in 2025
3% chance
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 come in at or above 5%?
34% chance
Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023-2026?
15% chance
Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
53% chance
Will US GDP growth be greater than 10% in 2029?
18% chance
Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?
45% chance
What will be the average yearly real GDP growth rate for the USA during 2021-2030?
3.6