Will either happen: Trump is convicted of a crime AND wins election OR Trump is not convicted AND loses election
Basic
9
Ṁ1190resolved Nov 7
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
4 possible scenarios
Trump is convicted and Wins - YES
Trump is convicted and doesn't Win - NO
Trump is not convicted and Wins - NO
Trump is not convicted and doesn't Win - YES
He must be convicted before election day to count
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump be Convicted, if his January 6th Trial begins before the election?
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
15% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
14% chance
If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
41% chance
Conditional on Trump being convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction, in what year is the first such instance?
2024
If Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
21% chance
Contingent on Trump winning the election, will any of the DAs or judges currently trying him go to jail?
18% chance
Will Trump ever win